When football teams go for 2-point conversions, are they gambling or playing it safe? Brendan Healy breaks down the math in time for Super Bowl LIII.
It’s been an NFL debate for years – gamble on a 2-point conversion or play it safe with an extra point? In this season’s final Thursday Night Football game, Dec. 13, the San Diego Chargers gambled and won, converting a 2-point attempt in the final seconds to complete a 14-point comeback and a 29-28 victory. What kind of factors go into a decision like this? And how is it related to going for it on fourth down? Brendan Healy, visiting assistant professor, says the answers lie in math.